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The February Natural Gas contract has fired 90-10 Low Continuation and Momentum Pinball Buy signals for today's trading. The 90-10 Low Continuation signal is fired when the day's trading closes within the bottom 10% of the day's range. It tells us that yesterday's late day move lower is likely to continue on into today. The Momentum Pinball Buy signal suggests that IF the first hour's high happens to be broken, the market is telling us something completely different than originally assessed, and we'd want to consider a long position. Cycle Indicators (chart at right) appear as if a short term cyclical top has recently been marked, and the larger trend is to lower prices. Odds favor further downside in early morning trade. Look for an opportunity to sell the break of yesterday's 3.441 low with a stop just above the 3.493 level of the Daily Pivot. Price weakness below the DP may provide clues for earlier entry. The Momentum Pinball Buy signal, however, tells us to change our bias to the upside if the day's first hour high happens to be taken out.
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