The March Soybean Oil contract has fired 90-10 Low Continuation, High Breakout Continuation Setup, and Momentum Pinball Buy signals for today's trading. The 90-10 Low Continuation signal is fired when the day's trading closes within the bottom 10% of the day's range. It tells us that Friday's late day move lower is likely to continue on into today. The High Breakout Continuation Setup signal implies significant upside IF Friday's high happens to be taken out. The Momentum Pinball Buy signal suggests that IF the first hour's high happens to be broken, the market is telling us something completely different than originally assessed, and we'd want to consider a long position. Cycle Indicators (chart at right) appear as if a short term cyclical top has recently been marked. Odds favor further downside in early morning trade. Sell the break of Friday's 49.85 low with a stop just above the 50.21 level of the Daily Pivot. Price weakness below the DP may provide clues for earlier entry. The Momentum Pinball Buy signal tells us to change our bias to the upside on a break of the first hour high.

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The July Sugar contract has fired 2 Day ROC Sell, 90-10 Low Continuation & Reversal, and Momentum Pinball Buy signals for today's trading. The 2 Day ROC Sell signal implies that today's principal trade direction should be to the downside. The 90-10 Low Continuation & Reversal signal tells us to look for morning follow through on the weak close, but to expect a likely reversal once the initial move has bottomed. The Momentum Pinball Buy signal suggests that IF the first hour's high happens to be broken, the market is telling us something completely different than originally assessed, and we'd want to consider a long position. Cycle Indicators (chart at right) have moved into a region where short term cyclical tops often form, and both the larger and the more immediate trends are to lower prices. Odds favor continued downside in today's early trading. Sell the break of yesterday's 20.31 low or even earlier if price demonstrates weakness below the 20.37 level of the Daily Pivot. But stand prepared to exit or even reverse if we get appropriate price reversal patterns and/or Oscillator Divergence near important support levels. Our Normal Low Range Projection level of 19.99 or the Extended Low Range Projection level of 19.70 would be likely areas for such a reversal to take place, as would a test and failure of yesterday's low. The Momentum Pinball Buy signal tells us to assume an upside bias if the first hour high happens to be taken out.

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